The Great American Divorce
Part 4 of Mamdani the Commie...
Where This All Leads
America’s political map doesn’t look like a debate anymore.
It looks like a weather system.
Blue states are low-pressure zones: taxes rising, people leaving, budgets collapsing.
Red states are high-pressure zones: lower taxes, rising populations, new businesses, growing influence.
And like every meteorologist knows when high pressure and low pressure meet, you get storms. (I was a Meteorologist for 35 years)
The Storm System
For years, we were told polarization was just people arguing online.
It’s not. It’s people moving.
Florida now has 1.4 million more registered Republicans than Democrats. That didn’t happen through persuasion; it happened through migration. Millions left states like New York, California, and Illinois — and they took their votes, their paychecks, and their patience with them.
Every U-Haul heading south is a ballot leaving a blue state.
Every moving truck heading to Tennessee or Texas shifts the national weather pattern just a little more.
It’s not red versus blue anymore. It’s where you live versus what you’ll tolerate.
The Forecast
You can already see the fronts forming.
The economic jet stream: businesses and workers chasing tax sanity and public safety.
The cultural jet stream: parents and professionals leaving school boards and bureaucracies that treat them like the enemy.
The political jet stream: elections reshaped not by messaging but by migration math.
Blue states will keep growing bluer, red states redder. The center ground is being evacuated.
And just like a real storm, the pressure keeps building until something breaks.
The Warning Label
What happens next?
It depends on whether the country learns or doubles down.
If the experiment in places like New York and California collapses under its own weight, maybe voters elsewhere will finally see the forecast for what it is, a warning label.
If it doesn’t, if the collapse is hidden under bailouts, subsidies, and federal spin then the same storm just spreads nationwide.
Here’s Where It All Leads
This isn’t the end of America.
It’s the re-organization of America.
Two nations, still sharing a flag but living under different assumptions:
One built around freedom with accountability.
The other around control with excuses.
And somewhere between them is the rest of us, watching the radar, hoping the pressure drops before the next front hits.
If you’ve followed this series, thank you.
Part 1 was the warning.
Part 2 was the ideology.
Part 3 was the migration.
This, Part 4 is the forecast.
If you want the next stages keeping up with the future forecast, subscribe now and get it first.
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The weather as metaphor was a fun, and apt, way to look at the forces shaping the US, and the rest of the world right now. One thing about weather - even Bill Gates now understands this - is that it is always changing and the most we lesser mortals can do is adapt and mitigate. Those of us outside the US understand that your weather will soon be ours one way or another. Take care!
The weather metaphor really does capture how much of this shift is driven by movement, not argument. People are voting with their feet, and the pressure systems are changing whether we like it or not. It’s less about red vs. blue and more about what people feel they can no longer tolerate in their daily lives.